Impact of Climate Change on Cash Crops in Balochistan

Abstract

The thesis examines the impact of climate change on cash crops in
district lasbella and sibbi. Further the climatic variables that affect is to
be tested on production of cotton and sugarcane are temperature, i.e.
minimum temperature & maximum temperature, rain and humidity. Data
for the thesis analysis is of fifteen years from 2000 to 2014. Eveiws model
of “OLS” is used for analysing data. Besides that, the estimation of the
model shows the results that, in district lasbela on sugarcane productivity,
1
oC change in maximum temperature decrease yield to 3.77%, but effect
on cotton resulted fruitful and resulted 5.87% increase in yield,
furthermore in district sibbi impact of maximum temperature on
sugarcane; the yield increases to 5.75% but decreases the yield of cotton
to 0.67%. Moreover, the impact of minimum temperature in district
lasbella is that 1oC change in temperature decreases 1.68% sugarcane
yield, and increases 4.4% cotton yield but in sibbi district sugarcane yield
decreases to 5.68% and increases the production to 0.265% cotton yield.
In district lasbela on sugarcane productivity the 1% change in humidity
increase yield 0.40%, but on cotton impact of change in humidity is
adverse, that is, 0.57% decrease in yield, furthermore in district sibbi the
impact of humidity on sugarcane yield increases 0.48% and also increases
the yield 0.35% cotton. Moreover, the impact of rain in both districts
lasbella and sibbi resulted in same impacts, 1mm change in rain increases
0.005% sugarcane yield, but decreases 0.018% cotton yield. In sibbi
district sugarcane yield increases 0.035% and no impact on cotton yield.